BISONFAN18 wrote:classB4ever wrote:BISONFAN18 wrote:How do you explain Cavalier being ranked and other teams who have had losses against top 5 teams not in the top 10?
Good question. I use 6 way multiplier: Wins (Home .75, Neutral 1, Away 1.25). Losses (Home 1.25, Neutral 1, Away .75). Also take into account winning percentage of team and opponent and point differential of game vs. team's average point differential. Gets complicated and not all bugs worked out of it yet, but getting close. In other words, having undefeated record should surely garnish you attention, but you have to have had wins against strong opponents as well.
Problem with using formulas in early part of season is there is no point of reference for strength of schedule. Who's to say what the strongest teams are in first 3 games of season to determine strength of schedule? You can't go by past year's success due to graduation. Therefore ranking SOS in first 3 weeks is completely up to author's own opinion.
So, Cavalier and Rugby are undefeated and played some quality opponents. Would still be hard for me to put them ahead of H-CV and FW-M due to point differential against some like opponents and each of them playing #1 team close.
That is a pretty good explanation. Thanks and cudos for your love of the game.
Ha, thanks. Have enjoyed our discussions.
In the computer rankings and RPI that we are talking about, they had BR, DT and SC ranked very high in first week. So when they played one another, their RPI, CR and SOS got inflated because of their initial ranking. It is going to take a number of games for other teams to overcome that. Thompson, for instance is still ranked below them even though they have beaten a number of them head to head.
IMO, early in the season while everybody's record is still 0-0, the team that goes on the road and wins at opponent's home court by the largest point differential should automatically be ranked #1. That way there is no predetermining who are the strongest teams. It doesn't take long to see who best teams are. That's why SOS and RPI get inflated for some teams early on.
I guess that's why the pollsters are sometimes more accurate as they have ability to bring in human instincts in to "predicting" and formulas are only as good as author who wrote them. 2 cents.