North Dakota Preps

Using previous 20 years info and some interpolation:

Region 1 - Fargo Oak Grove > 55% vs. field - OG +20% vs. Richland
Region 2 - Hillsboro - Central Valley and Grafton > 75% vs. field - H-CV +5% vs. Thompson
Region 3 - Carrington and Linton - HMB > 65% vs. field - Carrington +5% vs. Ellendale
Region 4 - Four Winds - Minn. > 55% vs. field
Region 5 - Bismarck Shiloh Christian > 75% vs. field - TLMM +10% vs. Washburn
Region 6 - Minot Ryan > 55% vs. field
Region 7 - Dickinson Trinity and Beulah > 90% vs. field - DT +10% vs. Beulah
Region 8 - Parshall = 50% vs. field

Using average finishes for regions over the years:
2017 State Tournament
Game 1: R3 vs. R7 => R7
Game 2: R5 vs. R2 => R2
Game 3: R8 vs. R4 => R4
Game 4: R6 vs. R1 => R6 (Almost a tie)
Game 5: R5 vs. R3 => R5 (Almost a tie)
Game 6: R8 vs. R1 => R1
Game 7: R2 vs. R7 => R7 (Almost a tie)
Game 8: R6 vs. R4 => R4
Game 9 (7th): R3 vs. R8 => R3 (Almost a tie)
Game 10 (5th): R5 vs. R1 => R1
Game 11 (3rd): R6 vs. R2 => R2 (Almost a tie)
Game 12 (1st): R7 vs. R4 => R4

Knowing the teams in this year's tournament, I think there are going to be some very good games and "perceived" upsets that don't follow the trends from year's past or polls from this year. Just a hunch.

I'm not picking any upsets the first round, but after that, there is a ton of parity.

classB4ever wrote:Using average finishes for regions over the years:
2017 State Tournament
Game 1: R3 vs. R7 => R7
Game 2: R5 vs. R2 => R2
Game 3: R8 vs. R4 => R4
Game 4: R6 vs. R1 => R6 (Almost a tie)
Game 5: R5 vs. R3 => R5 (Almost a tie)
Game 6: R8 vs. R1 => R1
Game 7: R2 vs. R7 => R7 (Almost a tie)
Game 8: R6 vs. R4 => R4
Game 9 (7th): R3 vs. R8 => R3 (Almost a tie)
Game 10 (5th): R5 vs. R1 => R1
Game 11 (3rd): R6 vs. R2 => R2 (Almost a tie)
Game 12 (1st): R7 vs. R4 => R4

Knowing the teams in this year's tournament, I think there are going to be some very good games and "perceived" upsets that don't follow the trends from year's past or polls from this year. Just a hunch.

I would agree that there will be a pretty good story line to this year also!!

There are good discussions going on about region predictions. Like to post information on this thread to aid discussions.

Following are the average state finish for each region since 2010:
Region 4 1.89
Region 6 3.56
Region 1 4.22
Region 2 4.44
Region 3 4.89
Region 7 4.89
Region 5 6.11
Region 8 6.22

Is this the year that regions 1, 2 & 8 move up the ladder? Some very good teams being mentioned in those regional discussions.

Have been tweaking a power formula for a while. Getting close. Will compare to this weeks poll. Only did top 10 teams so far. When time allows, will try to enter more teams to see how it pans out. Did it here so not to muddy water on main poll thread.

6th Poll:
1. Thompson
2. Rugby
3. H-CV
4. FW-M
5. Richland
6. Cavalier
7. Kindred
8. Shiloh Christian
9. New Rockford
10. Bishop Ryan

Homemade Power Ranking Formula:
1. Thompson - .982
2. Rugby - .934
3. H-CV - .885
4. FW-M - .811
5. Cavalier - .786
6-7. (Tie) Richland & Kindred - .758
8. Bishop Ryan - .755
9. New Rockford - .722
10. Shiloh Christian - .703

If someone would like their team compared to another, post and will put it on this thread.