Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

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Re: Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

Postby classB4ever » Wed Mar 08, 2017 2:01 pm

Using previous 20 years info and some interpolation:

Region 1 - Fargo Oak Grove > 55% vs. field - OG +20% vs. Richland
Region 2 - Hillsboro - Central Valley and Grafton > 75% vs. field - H-CV +5% vs. Thompson
Region 3 - Carrington and Linton - HMB > 65% vs. field - Carrington +5% vs. Ellendale
Region 4 - Four Winds - Minn. > 55% vs. field
Region 5 - Bismarck Shiloh Christian > 75% vs. field - TLMM +10% vs. Washburn
Region 6 - Minot Ryan > 55% vs. field
Region 7 - Dickinson Trinity and Beulah > 90% vs. field - DT +10% vs. Beulah
Region 8 - Parshall = 50% vs. field
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Re: Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

Postby classB4ever » Mon Mar 13, 2017 1:47 pm

Using average finishes for regions over the years:
2017 State Tournament
Game 1: R3 vs. R7 => R7
Game 2: R5 vs. R2 => R2
Game 3: R8 vs. R4 => R4
Game 4: R6 vs. R1 => R6 (Almost a tie)
Game 5: R5 vs. R3 => R5 (Almost a tie)
Game 6: R8 vs. R1 => R1
Game 7: R2 vs. R7 => R7 (Almost a tie)
Game 8: R6 vs. R4 => R4
Game 9 (7th): R3 vs. R8 => R3 (Almost a tie)
Game 10 (5th): R5 vs. R1 => R1
Game 11 (3rd): R6 vs. R2 => R2 (Almost a tie)
Game 12 (1st): R7 vs. R4 => R4

Knowing the teams in this year's tournament, I think there are going to be some very good games and "perceived" upsets that don't follow the trends from year's past or polls from this year. Just a hunch.
Last edited by classB4ever on Mon Mar 13, 2017 2:24 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

Postby NodakQ2 » Mon Mar 13, 2017 2:13 pm

I'm not picking any upsets the first round, but after that, there is a ton of parity.
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Re: Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

Postby winner-within » Mon Mar 13, 2017 3:00 pm

classB4ever wrote:Using average finishes for regions over the years:
2017 State Tournament
Game 1: R3 vs. R7 => R7
Game 2: R5 vs. R2 => R2
Game 3: R8 vs. R4 => R4
Game 4: R6 vs. R1 => R6 (Almost a tie)
Game 5: R5 vs. R3 => R5 (Almost a tie)
Game 6: R8 vs. R1 => R1
Game 7: R2 vs. R7 => R7 (Almost a tie)
Game 8: R6 vs. R4 => R4
Game 9 (7th): R3 vs. R8 => R3 (Almost a tie)
Game 10 (5th): R5 vs. R1 => R1
Game 11 (3rd): R6 vs. R2 => R2 (Almost a tie)
Game 12 (1st): R7 vs. R4 => R4

Knowing the teams in this year's tournament, I think there are going to be some very good games and "perceived" upsets that don't follow the trends from year's past or polls from this year. Just a hunch.


I would agree that there will be a pretty good story line to this year also!!
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Re: Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

Postby classB4ever » Fri Dec 07, 2018 1:40 pm

There are good discussions going on about region predictions. Like to post information on this thread to aid discussions.

Following are the average state finish for each region since 2010:
Region 4 1.89
Region 6 3.56
Region 1 4.22
Region 2 4.44
Region 3 4.89
Region 7 4.89
Region 5 6.11
Region 8 6.22

Is this the year that regions 1, 2 & 8 move up the ladder? Some very good teams being mentioned in those regional discussions.
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Re: Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

Postby classB4ever » Tue Jan 15, 2019 7:07 pm

Have been tweaking a power formula for a while. Getting close. Will compare to this weeks poll. Only did top 10 teams so far. When time allows, will try to enter more teams to see how it pans out. Did it here so not to muddy water on main poll thread.

6th Poll:
1. Thompson
2. Rugby
3. H-CV
4. FW-M
5. Richland
6. Cavalier
7. Kindred
8. Shiloh Christian
9. New Rockford
10. Bishop Ryan

Homemade Power Ranking Formula:
1. Thompson - .982
2. Rugby - .934
3. H-CV - .885
4. FW-M - .811
5. Cavalier - .786
6-7. (Tie) Richland & Kindred - .758
8. Bishop Ryan - .755
9. New Rockford - .722
10. Shiloh Christian - .703
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Re: Remaining Teams - Records vs. other Regions

Postby classB4ever » Tue Jan 15, 2019 11:48 pm

If someone would like their team compared to another, post and will put it on this thread.
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