Playoff Clinching Scenarios - Week 7

[caserace0710]

Region 1

• Finley-Sharon/Hope-Page (5-0 region, 6-0 overall)
  
  • Clinched playoff berth last week with win since LaMoure/Litchville-Marion and Tri-State play this week (loser is mathematically eliminated from catching FSHP)
  • Clinches at least a first round home game with a win
  • Clinches region title with a win AND a May-Port-CG loss
• May-Port-CG (4-1, 4-1)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win AND either Maple Valley/Enderlin or Tri-State lose
  • Clinches at least a #3 seed with a win AND a both Maple Valley/Enderlin and Tri-State lose
• LaMoure/Litchville-Marion (4-2, 4-2)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win
• Tri-State (4-2, 4-2)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win AND a Richland loss

Region 2

• Cavalier (5-0, 6-0)
  
  • Clinched playoff berth last week
  • Clinches at least the #3 seed with a win AND a North Prairie loss
• New Rockford-Sheyenne (5-0, 5-0)
  
  • Clinched playoff berth last week
  • Clinches at least the #3 seed with a win AND a St. John loss
• North Prairie (4-1, 5-1)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win OR a North Border loss
• St. John (4-1, 5-1)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win AND a North Border loss

Region 3

• Central McLean (6-0, 6-0)
  
  • Clinched playoff berth and at least the #3 seed last week
  • Clinches at least a first round home game with a Surrey loss
  • Clinches region title with a win
• Ray/Powers Lake (5-1, 5-1)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win OR either Surrey or TGU lose
  • Clinches at least a #3 seed with a win AND both Surrey and TGU lose
• Mohall-Lansford-Sherwood (4-1, 4-2)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win AND a TGU loss

Region 4

• Linton/HMB (5-0, 5-0)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win OR a Beach loss
  • Clinches at least a first round home game with a win AND a Kidder County loss
• Grant County/Flasher (4-1, 4-1)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win
• Kidder County (4-1, 4-1)
  
  • Clinches playoff berth with a win OR both Mott-Regent/New England and South Border lose
  • Clinches at least a #3 seed with a win AND a Beach loss
• Beach (4-2, 4-2)
  
  • Clinches a playoff berth with a win AND a Mott-Regent/New England loss

[Sorenson23]

How many home games would the R3 Champion or R4 champion have in the playoffs?

This is going by the bracket on the NDHSAA website. I would think that both the R3 & R4 Champion have two home games until the semi-finals. Then how would it go for the semi-final game would the R2 champion travel to the R4 champ or vice versa? The same goes for R1 and R3 who would have that third home game (basically home-field advantage up to the Dakota Bowl).

[caserace0710]

I believe the 9-man playoffs are doing the same thing this year as Class A did the last two years with the region champions being seeded 1-4 based on QRF Rankings with the #1 and #4 overall QRF being on one half and #2 and #3 being on the other half. The pairings then would be R1 vs. R2 and R3 vs. R4.

The region champions would have at least two home games before the semifinals. If two teams won a region, then the home team would be the team that finished with the highest QRF.

[Farmerdig1]

Is there any chance ray/powers lake or mohall still wins region 3?

[Sorenson23]

Remaining Schedules:

Central McLean:
vs Ray-Powers Lake
@Parshall-White Shield

Ray-Powers Lake:
@ Central McLean
vs Towner-Granville-Upham

Mohall-Lansford-Sherwood:
@ Lewis & Clark-Berthold
vs Surrey
vs Towner-Granville-Upham

Mohall-L-S owns the tiebreaker over Ray-Powers Lake (M-L-S beat 26-21 R/PL in week 1).
CM owns the tiebreaker over Mohall-L-S (CM beat M-L-S 8-6 in week 2).

If CM loses out and R/PL loses one of their last two games. And Mohall-L-S wins out that's the only way.
Mohall-L-S 7-1
R/PL 6-2
CM 6-2

In order for Ray/PL to win the region, they need to beat CM on Friday, and TGU the following week. Cause if they beat CM but lose to TGU. And CM loses to Ray/PL but beats P/WS.
CM - 7-1
R/PL 6-2

But if CM and R/PL have the same record at the end of the season. If Ray defeats CM via H2H.
R/PL 7-1
CM 7-1

CM clinches the region with a win on Friday.
CM 7-0
R/PL 5-2
In the case of a three-way tie CM 7-1, R/PL 7-1, M-L-S 7-1, it would go based on point differential I believe.

[Run4Fun2009]

In the case of a three-way tie CM 7-1, R/PL 7-1, M-L-S 7-1, it would go based on point differential I believe.

MLS sits at +3

R/PL sits at -5
CM sits at +2

R/PL must win by 9 or more vs. CM to take the #1 Seed; then CM has #2 seed via H2H tiebreak vs. MLS

R/PL wins by 7 or less then MLS takes the #1 Seed; R/PL via win would take #2 over CM

Not sure the tiebreak if they are tied in Point Differential (R/PL win of 8 vs. CM would cause this...caserace may know this tiebreak).

[caserace0710]

In the case of a three-way tie CM 7-1, R/PL 7-1, M-L-S 7-1, it would go based on point differential I believe.

MLS sits at +3

R/PL sits at -5
CM sits at +2

R/PL must win by 9 or more vs. CM to take the #1 Seed; then CM has #2 seed via H2H tiebreak vs. MLS

R/PL wins by 7 or less then MLS takes the #1 Seed; R/PL via win would take #2 over CM

Not sure the tiebreak if they are tied in Point Differential (R/PL win of 8 vs. CM would cause this...caserace may know this tiebreak).

Yep sure do!

If two teams have the same point differential in a three-team tie, Step 1 (H2H) would break the tie. In the case that RPL beats CM by 8, then it would be the same scenario as RPL winning by 7 or less.

[Sorenson23]

In the case of a three-way tie CM 7-1, R/PL 7-1, M-L-S 7-1, it would go based on point differential I believe.

MLS sits at +3

R/PL sits at -5
CM sits at +2

R/PL must win by 9 or more vs. CM to take the #1 Seed; then CM has #2 seed via H2H tiebreak vs. MLS

R/PL wins by 7 or less then MLS takes the #1 Seed; R/PL via win would take #2 over CM

Not sure the tiebreak if they are tied in Point Differential (R/PL win of 8 vs. CM would cause this...caserace may know this tiebreak).

Yep sure do!

If two teams have the same point differential in a three-team tie, Step 1 (H2H) would break the tie. In the case that RPL beats CM by 8, then it would be the same scenario as RPL winning by 7 or less.

So if Ray beats CM by 8 pts.
1. Mohall-L-S
2. R/PL
3. CM

Thanks for clearing that up.

[Sportsrube]

Region 4 seems to be set:

1. Linton-HMB - Kidder County, Beach and Grant County should all be in and playing for seeding.

[Sorenson23]

Ray-Powers Lake has to beat TGU to win the region title or a CM loss to Parshall-White Shield. If we finish with the same record. #1. Ray-Powers Lake, 2. Central McLean 3. Mohall-L-S, 4. Surrey.

I will be picking M-L-S to beat Surrey on Friday that's why their three. A lot of ranked teams have fallen throughout the season except for NR-S, or Cavalier. But that will change on Friday. So anything thing can happen I think that there is no dominant team out west, it's completely balanced IMO.