Playoff Scenarios

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Playoff Scenarios

Postby Sorenson23 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 2:17 pm

Since their is only two weeks left in the regular season. Would anyone know the playoff scenarios.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Run4Fun2009 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 2:26 pm

Sorenson23 wrote:Since their is only two weeks left in the regular season. Would anyone know the playoff scenarios.


In standings page...those with an ‘x’ by their name have clinched a playoff spot. I wasn’t going to do scenarios until after this week cause there are still some tight Regions
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby hoophoophoop » Mon Sep 24, 2018 2:51 pm

Winner of Richland and FSHP will get the #2 seed in Region 1 this Friday
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Flip » Mon Sep 24, 2018 6:33 pm

hoophoophoop wrote:Winner of Richland and FSHP will get the #2 seed in Region 1 this Friday

FSHP beats Richland, loses to Hankinson and MPCG wins out. FSHP won't be #2.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Plinko123 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 6:34 pm

If Larimore can get a W against NR-S. They get the number 1 seed out of region 2. If they come out with the same tenacity as they did against Cavalier, it will be a good game to watch.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Run4Fun2009 » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:09 pm

Thompson has clinched Region 1 #1 Seed; that is the only CLINCHED spot going into this week. Many teams have earned playoff berths but have business to take care of for seeding.

Region 2's 4 seed could potentially be up for grabs on October 5th in Four Winds with Nelson County @ Four Winds!

Scenarios will become much clearer after Friday's games...so many spots up for grabs still
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Flip » Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:48 pm

just a note, but Four Winds hasn't played any games at home this year. They had an issue with their field so they've played every game on the road.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby caserace0710 » Tue Sep 25, 2018 10:37 am

Run4Fun2009 wrote:Thompson has clinched Region 1 #1 Seed; that is the only CLINCHED spot going into this week.


I thought Napoleon/G-S clinched the #1 seed in Region 3 already? Even if they lose to Linton/HMB this week and Oakes wins both their remaining games, both would stand at 5-1 in region play with NGS owning the H2H tiebreaker over Oakes.

I'll get some official scenarios hopefully later today.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Run4Fun2009 » Tue Sep 25, 2018 11:04 am

caserace0710 wrote:
Run4Fun2009 wrote:Thompson has clinched Region 1 #1 Seed; that is the only CLINCHED spot going into this week.


I thought Napoleon/G-S clinched the #1 seed in Region 3 already? Even if they lose to Linton/HMB this week and Oakes wins both their remaining games, both would stand at 5-1 in region play with NGS owning the H2H tiebreaker over Oakes.

I'll get some official scenarios hopefully later today.


You are correct...I overlooked that one
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby caserace0710 » Tue Sep 25, 2018 11:45 am

This is what I got for scenarios. I didn't take a very deep dive (especially in Region 4) with these scenarios with some teams might have clinched based on deductive logic already, but I think I got most of them.

As in past years, let me know if I missed any!

NOTE: All records are for region games only. For Region 4, forfeits against Drake-Anamoose have been excluded from the records.

Region 1
Clinched: Thompson (#1 seed) and Richland

Richland (4-1) @ Finley-Sharon/Hope-Page (2-2)
  • Richland clinches Region 1 #2 seed and 1st round bye with a win
  • Finley-Sharon/Hope-Page clinches a playoff berth with a win AND a Hankinson loss

May-Port-CG (2-2) @ Wyndmere-Lidgerwood (0-4)
  • May-Port-CG clinches playoff berth with a win AND a Hatton/Northwood loss
  • May-Port-CG clinches the Region 1 #3 seed by clinching a playoff berth (see above) AND Finley-Sharon/Hope-Page lose

Region 2
Clinched: Larimore and New Rockford-Sheyenne

New Rockford-Sheyenne (3-0) @ Larimore (4-0)
  • Region 2 #1 seed
    • Larimore with a win
    • New Rockford-Sheyenne with a win AND a Cavalier loss

Cavalier (2-1) @ Nelson County (1-2)
  • Cavalier clinches a playoff berth with a win

Region 3
Clinched: Napoleon/Gackle-Streeter (#1 seed) and Oakes

South Border (0-4) @ Oakes (3-1)
  • Oakes clinches the Region 3 #2 seed with a win

LaMoure/Litchville-Marion (2-2) @ Kidder County (2-2)
  • Kidder County clinches a playoff berth with a win
  • Kidder County clinches the Region 3 #3 seed by clinching a playoff berth AND Oakes wins

Region 4
Clinched: None

North Star (2-1) @ St. John (3-0)
  • St. John clinches playoff berth and the Region 4 #1 seed with a win
  • Both teams clinch playoff berths with a Benson County loss

TGU (2-1) @ Benson County (1-2)
  • TGU clinches a playoff berth with a win

North Prairie (3-2)
  • North Prairie clinches playoff berth with a Benson County loss

Region 5
Clinched: New Salem/Glen Ullin, Shiloh Christian, and Richardton-Taylor/Hebron

Shiloh Christian (5-0) @ Richardton-Taylor/Hebron (4-1)
  • A Shiloh Christian win would give Richardton-Taylor/Hebron the Region 5 #3 seed

Region 6
Clinched: Mohall-Lansford-Sherwood, Ray/Powers Lake, Surrey

Mohall-Lansford-Sherwood (4-0) @ Ray/Powers Lake (4-0)
  • Mohall-Lansford-Sherwood clinches at least a 1st round bye if both Surrey and Divide County both lose
  • Mohall-Lansford-Sherwood clinches the Region 6 #1 seed a with a win
  • Ray/Powers Lake clinches the Region 6 #1 seed with a win AND a Surrey loss

Tioga (1-3) @ Divide County (2-2)
  • Divide County clinches a playoff berth with a win
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Run4Fun2009 » Tue Sep 25, 2018 12:41 pm

North Prairie is in already as their region schedule is over and they defeated Benson County (52-15) & North Star (36-30) so they own those tiebreakers
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Sorenson23 » Tue Sep 25, 2018 4:55 pm

What about Region 5? New Salem-GU, Shiloh Christian, Richardton-Taylor-Hebron are in.

Central McLean would clinch the #4 seed with win and a Beach loss. I wouldn't know how Grant County-Flasher would get in since CM owns the tiebreaker over GC-F. I think its down to Central McLean & Beach to get it.

This weeks games

(1-5) Mott-Regent-NE @ Central McLean (3-3)
(2-4) Grant County-Flasher @ Beach (2-4)

Next week

Central McLean @ Beach
Grant County-Flasher @ Mott-Regent-NE
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Sniper » Tue Sep 25, 2018 9:48 pm

Sorenson23 wrote:What about Region 5? New Salem-GU, Shiloh Christian, Richardton-Taylor-Hebron are in.

Central McLean would clinch the #4 seed with win and a Beach loss. I wouldn't know how Grant County-Flasher would get in since CM owns the tiebreaker over GC-F. I think its down to Central McLean & Beach to get it.

This weeks games

(1-5) Mott-Regent-NE @ Central McLean (3-3)
(2-4) Grant County-Flasher @ Beach (2-4)

Next week

Central McLean @ Beach
Grant County-Flasher @ Mott-Regent-NE


Central McLean, Beach and GC-F are all still alive for the 4 seed. Both Beach and Central McLean can get in by winning out (they play each). GC-F would get in if they win out and Central McLean losses out. These three teams could also tie for the 4th spot.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Sorenson23 » Tue Sep 25, 2018 11:18 pm

I'm just looking at the scenario this week.

If CM defeats Mott-Regent-NE &
Grant County-Flasher defeats Beach CM would clinch. Wouldn't matter what GC-F does the final week. (CM owns tiebreaker over GC-F). But I agree the only way gets GC-F if they win out. I know if they all tie in goes by point differential.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Sniper » Tue Sep 25, 2018 11:32 pm

Sorenson23 wrote:I'm just looking at the scenario this week. If CM defeats Mott-Regent-NE & Grant County-Flasher defeats Beach CM would clinch. Wouldn't matter what GC-F does the final week. (CM owns tiebreaker over GC-F). But I agree GC-F wins out their in.


If Central McLean beats Mott-Regent-NE and GC-F beats Beach this week the standings for region games would be: CM 3-3, Beach 2-4, GC-F 2-4. CM would not clinch in your scenario as they could lose to Beach and have the same record (3-4) as Beach with Beach having the tiebreaker. GC-F could also even themselves to a 3-4 record with wins over Beach and M-R-NE, which would give you a threeway tie.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Run4Fun2009 » Tue Sep 25, 2018 11:36 pm

Sorenson23 wrote:I'm just looking at the scenario this week.

If CM defeats Mott-Regent-NE &
Grant County-Flasher defeats Beach CM would clinch. Wouldn't matter what GC-F does the final week. (CM owns tiebreaker over GC-F). But I agree the only way gets GC-F if they win out. I know if they all tie in goes by point differential.


You asked for the scenarios and we have given them to you...that includes your beloved CM losing a game. Sniper is right...Sorenson your standings are not accurate either.

Correct Standings
New Salem-Glen Ullin 5-0
Shiloh Christian 5-0
Richardton-Taylor-Hebron 4-1
Central McLean 2-3
Beach 2-3
Grant County-Flasher 1-4
Hettinger-Scranton 1-4
Mott-Regent/New England 0-5
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Sorenson23 » Wed Sep 26, 2018 12:24 am

My bad I wasn't going by the region standings. I just thought the winner of CM/GC-F would have a better chance of getting the #4 seed. But Mott-Regent-NE could play spoiler this week. We're in for an interesting final two weeks. The battle for the 4th spot plus the Region 5 Championship featuring the Skyhawks and Holsteins.

Even with New Salem-GU WR Soupir out I still think New Salem-GU will defeat Shiloh by 3 scores at most. Like I said I'd be very surprised if the Holsteins aren't in the Dakota Bowl.

Anything can happen. Anyone can beat anybody on any given night.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby scc » Wed Sep 26, 2018 9:25 am

Thompson and Richland have locked up playoff spots in Region 1. After that, it gets interesting. Assuming MPCG beats Wyndmere-Lidgerwood and Richland beats FSHP this week, it appears there is only one scenario in which the Patriots miss the playoffs.

- Hatton-Northwood beats Hankinson this week
- FSHP beats Hankinson next week
- Hatton-Northwood beats MPCG next week

If everything above fell into place, a three-way tie between FSHP, Hatton-Northwood, and MPCG would exist. MPCG would be the odd team out.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Jack Squad » Wed Sep 26, 2018 9:36 am

Region 1 will have a lot of variability in the next couple weeks. It is interesting that Hankinson is currently the 6 seed, but controls their own destiny. If Hankinson beats Hatton-N this week and FSHP next week, they would sneak into the 4 seed and hold tiebreakers over both H-N and FSHP.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Sorenson23 » Thu Sep 27, 2018 5:18 am

Now I'm not talking class A. But when was the last time Linton-HMB missed the 9man playoffs. I'm not saying they won't clinch a playoff berth. But has to be a long time ago.
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Run4Fun2009 » Thu Sep 27, 2018 9:21 am

Sorenson23 wrote:Now I'm not talking class A. But when was the last time Linton-HMB missed the 9man playoffs. I'm not saying they won't clinch a playoff berth. But has to be a long time ago.


Caserace’s website is great for questions like this...1994
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby caserace0710 » Thu Sep 27, 2018 12:13 pm

Run4Fun2009 wrote:
Sorenson23 wrote:Now I'm not talking class A. But when was the last time Linton-HMB missed the 9man playoffs. I'm not saying they won't clinch a playoff berth. But has to be a long time ago.


Caserace’s website is great for questions like this...1994


Going a bit off topic here, Linton's program since the playoff era in 1975 has only had one season at or below .500. That was in 1998 where they finished 4-5 (lost in the first round of the playoffs to North Central Benson). That is pretty dang impressive also.

Ok, back to live action...
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Wilbur » Fri Sep 28, 2018 10:01 am

The last time Linton missed the playoffs (A or B) was 1994 when they were Class B 11-Man. The last time they missed the playoffs in 9-Man was in 1978. Only one team in the conference advanced to the playoffs in 9-Man from 1974-84, and Linton Did not make the playoffs from 1974-78. However, Napoleon (1975) and Zeeland (1977 & 78) were in Linton's conference when they won State titles and Linton beat Napoleon in 75 and Zeeland in 78. Since 1979, Linton missed the Class B 11-Man playoffs in 1987, 1992 and 1994. 3 times in 40 years. They never missed the playoffs in Class A (2005-14).
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby Wilbur » Fri Sep 28, 2018 10:14 am

Contradicted myself. The last time Linton missed the playoffs in 9-Man was in 1994. They were Class B 11-Man from 1987-92. Missed the playoffs in 1987, 1992 (Class A 11-Man) and 1994 (9-Man).
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Re: Playoff Scenarios

Postby thewwwebb » Fri Sep 28, 2018 11:14 am

Considering the ups and downs of small town enrollments, plus the swings you can have from one year to the next in size, speed, talent and ability of a bunch of high school boys, that is an incredibly impressive stretch for Linton!
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