by ChickenNuggets » Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:52 pm
Region 1-
Kindred needs to win one of the last two games to win the region, or they could go 0-2 if Central Cass loses one of their last two.
Central Cass is pretty solidly set at #2 unless they lose to Ellendale/Edgely and then EE goes on to also beat Kindred. Not likely.
The winner of Oakes and Lisbon is likely #3 in the region with the loser being #4... again, unless EE beats Central Cass AND Kindred these next two weeks in succession.
Most Likely Scenario:
1- Kindred
2- Casselton
3/4- Determined by winner between Oakes and Lisbon
On the bubble- E-E-K
Region 2-
Langdon and Carrington will play for the Region Championship next week. Loser will be #2 in the region.
There are still 3 teams alive for the #3 and #4 spots. Harvey, Cavalier, and Thompson. Bottineau is eliminated because the best they could do is create a 3-way tie with two of these teams and they have lost head to head to all of them so that would eliminate them.
Harvey is @ Cavalier this week. If Harvey wins, they are #3 and then Cavalier hosts Thompson next week and that game would be a play-off game for the #4 spot. Win and you're in, lose and you're done. If Cavalier beats Harvey, They are most likely the #3 with Harvey #4 UNLESS Thompson beats Langdon and then beats Cavalier the following week.
Most Likely Scenario:
1- Langdon/Carrington Winner
2- Langdon/Carrington Loser
3- Harvey/Cavalier winner
4- Harvey/Cavalier loser or Thompson
on the bubble- Cavalier or Thompson
Region 3-
There's a lot riding on Velva vs. Bishop Ryan. If Velva wins it will go 1-Velva, 2, DLB, 3- Ryan, 4- Stanley. If Bishop Ryan wins it would create a 3-way tie and would come down to point differential. If Bishop Ryan wins by 11 points or less, it wouldn't change the above scenario, Velva still wins the tie-breaker to get #1, DLB #2 based on Head to Head over Bishop Ryan, Bishop Ryan #3 and Stanley #4... Theo only way this Changes is if Bishop Ryan wins by 12 or more, then they would win the tie-breaker on points and be #1, Velva would slide down to #2 having still beat DLB head to head, DLB would go to #3 and Stanley stays at 4.
Most likely Scenario-
1- Velva
2- DLB
3- Bishop Ryan
4- Stanley
Region 4-
Beulah vs. Killdeer is huge for this region this week. All signs point to Trinity finishing #1 and Shiloh #2. Even if one of these two teams loses at this point it really wouldn't move them. They would have to lose twice to move out of these positions and that's not likely. If Killdeer beats Beulah, they pretty well have #3 wrapped up. If Beulah doesn't beat Killdeer, they would very likely have to beat Shiloh to hang onto the #4 spot. That could be tough. Bowman has a head to head over Beulah so there's a good chance they sneak into that #4 spot with two very winnable games remaining on their schedule.
Most Likely Scenario-
1- Trinity
2- Shiloh
3- Killdeer
4- Bowman
On the bubble- Beulah